NYC subway-track deaths soar, driven by social-media dares

Link: https://nypost.com/2023/04/02/nyc-subway-track-deaths-soar-driven-by-social-media-dares/

Excerpt:

The Metropolitan Transportation Authority had distressing news last week: Deaths on subway-train tracks soared in 2022, to 88.

It’s a little-remarked element of our post-2020 era of disorder and chaos.

….

But as with everything else in New York in the past three years, things went awry. Last year’s 88 track deaths were 35% above the 2018 and 2019 averages — 65 each year.

For context, 120 pedestrians died above ground last year in crashes with cars or trucks, close to the average of 121 in 2018 and 2019.

….

What’s going on? Of 1,365 known subway-track incidents in 2022 (most of which didn’t end in death), about 15% were accidental falls or medical emergencies, a new MTA analysis finds.

A thankfully surprisingly low number — fewer than 10% — was suicides or suicide attempts.

An even smaller percentage was assaults — that is, people being pushed to the tracks. (Though with pushes to the tracks comprising three of last year’s 10 subway murders, a 30-year high, a small percentage is too many.)

In most cases — well more than two-thirds — people ended up on the tracks voluntarily.

In 20% of total cases, people were clearly mentally ill (but not attempting suicide); in another 10% or so, people were drugged or drunk.

….

The worst spike in track intrusions started a little more than a year ago, in December 2021 to February 2022. (This includes January 2022, when Michelle Go was pushed to her death in Times Square by a mentally ill, violent ex-con.)

This winter, track intrusions are down 30%.

Why? Largely police enforcement.

Author(s): Nicole Gelinas

Publication Date: 2 April 2023

Publication Site: NY Post

The Effect of Population Aging on Economic Growth, the Labor Force, and Productivity

Link: https://www.aeaweb.org/articles/pdf/doi/10.1257/mac.20190196?etoc=1&PHPSESSID=e2d71946030ec8a8263aa740cdefc8bf&aeawebcookie=bKEAqeTUkYC2t76T69dF0Ci6fxe7YbxnmOV&_ga=GA1.1.1666777193.1680103456&_ga_96K6S9DJLT=GS1.1.1680103456.1.1.1680103555.0.0.0

Maestas, Nicole, Kathleen J. Mullen and David Powell. 2023. “The Effect of Population Aging on Economic Growth, the Labor Force, and Productivity.” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 15 (2):306-32.

DOI: 10.1257/mac.20190196

Replication package link: https://www.openicpsr.org/openicpsr/project/173781/version/V1/view

Online appendix: https://assets.aeaweb.org/asset-server/files/18416.pdf

Graphic:

Abstract:

Population aging is expected to slow US economic growth. We use variation in the predetermined component of population aging across states to estimate the impact of aging on growth in GDP per capita for 1980–2010. We find that each 10 percent increase in the fraction of the population age 60+ decreased per capita GDP by 5.5 percent. One-third of the reduction arose from slower employment growth; two-thirds due to slower labor productivity growth. Labor compensation and wages also declined in response. Our estimate implies population aging reduced the growth rate in GDP per capita by 0.3 percentage points per year during 1980–2010.

Author(s): Maestas, Nicole, Kathleen J. Mullen and David Powell

Publication Date: 2023

Publication Site: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, AEAweb