BAYESIAN AND FREQUENTIST RESULTS ARE NOT THE SAME, EVER

Excerpt:

You can’t compare results from Bayesian and frequentist methods because the results are different kinds of things. Results from frequentist methods are generally a point estimate, a confidence interval, and/or a p-value.

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In contrast, the result from Bayesian methods is a posterior distribution, which is a different kind of thing from a point estimate, an interval, or a probability. It doesn’t make any sense to say that a distribution is “the same as” or “close to” a point estimate because there is no meaningful way to compute a distance between those things. It makes as much sense as comparing 1 second and 1 meter.

Author(s): Allen Downey

Publication Date: 25 April 2021

Publication Site: Probably Overthinking It